The Euro
The Euro is now the official currency for transactions
in many European nations. Those nations participating in the great monetary
unification have retired their old currrencies and are using the new one. This
new Europe-wide money can be spent in any of the participating nations without
the old exchange rates and bank fees.
The design of the Euro coins were botched. Many appear nearly identical and the
difference in size between one denomination and another is quite difficult
to recognise. The one cent coin is incredibly teensy - comparable to a mosquito
and just as annoying. And the European Union breached its own directives by
making two of its coins extremely high in nickel content. Nickel is a metal
to which 20 percent of the populace has an allergy.
Check out the European
central bank site for full scale views of the coins.
The bills, in contrast
to the stupid coins, are ingenious with micro-writing and laser strips and
watermarks and silk threads and all manner of devices to give counterfeiters
nightmares. So, it took a full three days after the introduction of the new
money for the first counterfeits to be passed.
One other thing. Officially,
the plural of Euro is... Euro. This is one EU directive that the Irish will
no doubt ignore(s).
A Political Currency
The whole premise of the Euro is unique in the
modern world. Normally, a new currency is created after some sort of political
unification. But, the Euro's key purpose
is to promote political unification. With everyone using the same money, political
harmony will follow. Yes, trade within the Euro zone will be easier without
having to deal with exchange rates and bank fees. But, the Euro is above all
else a political statement rather than simply a medium of exchange.
With the switchover to
the Euro for everyday business, the point has been driven home to hundreds
of millions of European citizens. Hey, this European business is really serious.
It's not just about grabbing subsidies and watching political bigwigs parade
in front of the cameras.
The obvious fact is this.
Who controls the money controls everything.
An
Economic Currency
So, how effective is
the Euro in its secondary role as a real live currency?
It has definitely made trade within the Euro zone easier and it does indeed promote
economic harmonization. For the first time it's
obvious that Big Macs in Ireland cost the same as they do in Germany. For
the first time we can easily tell that the Irish pay lots more for milk than
anyone else.
But, will knowing such
facts actually result in harmonized prices? Who knows? Any Irish person I
know who has vacationed anywhere else in Europe has been astounded by how
much cheaper things are in general. But this knowledge doesn't seem to matter
a whit when it comes to reducing Irish prices.
Euro Versus Dollar - 2007
I wouldn't bet against the US in the long run,
but the dollar is weak and the Euro stronger at this stage of the game. It's
not that the Euro has proved itself so strong, but rather that the dollar
has weakened. A combination of huge budget deficits and a huge trade imbalance
has weakened the mighty currency. Add in terrorism fears, hurricanes, expanded
security costs....
War, weather and terrorism, of course, are the great
imponderables in the current equation.
Another Potential Problem
What
happens when economies of the member states don't converge? The lesson of
Ireland is instructive. Ireland has had one of the fastest growing
economy on the planet. Inflation rose to 7% at one point. House prices rose
inexorably.
What was needed, the money gurus told us, was
tight money - higher interest rates to dampen spending. But, what the Irish
bankers wanted was not to be. Instead, in an overheated housing market, cheap
money was easily available and house prices continued to rise. There wasn't
any damping of demand from a rise in mortgage rates. The result of handing
over control of the money decisions to the European Central Bank was that
Ireland went through a period of inflation and normal monetary restraints
weren't available to policy makers.
The lesson? The needs of tiny Ireland pale against
those of the rest of the European Union.
In short, the needs of the many outweigh those
of the few. Which sounds very much like a definition of democratic government.
The lesson again is that the euro is bringing all of us into a unified whole
and nation states in Euroland have lost some key powers.
Britain
Britain has opted out of the first round of
monetary union. The UK will gamble that it can stand apart from all its continental
allies and trading partners and rely on the Channel to keep Europe at bay.
Successive Irish governments have reaffirmed again and yet again that Ireland
is a member of the Euro zone and hang the consequences of a split with its
closest neighbour and largest trading partner Great Britain.
Britain seems to be doing fine going its own
way and opposition to the Euro has hardened. A referendum is required to scrap
Sterling and take up the Euro and poll after poll shows low support for such
a switch. So, expect the current situation to continue for the next half decade
or longer.
Exchange Rates Converter
You can follow
exchange rate values at XE's must-use currency converter.
The Swami Speaks
It's a big decision when you convert your dollars or pesos or yen to euro. How do you know when to make the conversion?
My own personal experience is that once a currency swing gets going, it takes months and months for it to work itself out. We'll all know when the pendulum is at the bottom of its curve by the fact that rates get fairly stable for a couple of months.
This isn't an economist speaking - just someone who's been watching these swings back and forth with intense interest for the past 30 years.
One strategy to lessen the risk is to convert only a portion of your funds and leave a bundle behind. But, no matter how you act, it's a risk. Read the business section of the papers, consult your Ouija board and leap. For more on bringing money in and out of Ireland, click here.

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